
The move in oil looks particularly bullish here, definitively breaking out of a downtrend with high volume.

At some point we will get some profit taking, which will set up charts for better risk/reward on the long side. There are a good number of charts that are starting to look good for short trades, most in consumer and technology sectors. I am looking to start phasing into some short positions starting today, while allowing for a continuation higher in the broader market.
- AMR: With oil rallying, the rationale for buying airlines is greatly diminished. We still have a slowing global economy, and these stocks are way above their yearly highs.

- CAL has a double top in place, and was lower on increasing volume yesterday.

- SBUX is running into the 50 day moving average, and was also lower on increasing volume yesterday.

- THI looks a lot like SBUX, in the same sector.

- RLRN is still in an uptrend, and is in a sector that has been particularly strong lately. However, price repeatedly has had trouble getting through the 15.00 area. The October low is 6.00. I am not looking to get into this one right away, but it is high on the watch list.

- PFCB is the type of restaurant chain that relies on discretionary spending by consumers. I would look to short as it gets closer to the 50 day moving average.

Quite a few retailers are looking like they are nearing the end of their run.
- SCVL is nearly 40% off its lows, and is approaching the 50 and 200 day moving averages from below.

- JNY looks ready to resume its downtrend after a brief pop on average volume following recent earnings.

- SPLS

- GPC

- BIG

- BBBY

Here are a few short ideas in the technology area:
- MCRS has not participated in the rally, and reported earnings a few days ago.

- IWOV sold off after earnings, and has retraced to resistance on lower volume.

- BDC also saw a big drop after earnings, and is hitting a trendline.

- JNPR is another one with a poor reaction to earnings last month.

- EBIX has not seen much volume in this move.

- CRDN saw a poor reaction to recent earnings, and has rallied on decreasing volume.

- PWRD looks like it may be stalling here.

- SYT is hitting resistance as volume is decreasing.

Some from the building sectors:
- FAST has some potential to move higher here, but I would look to short closer to the 50 day moving average.

- MTH: I am already holding puts on this homebuilder.

- HW: They did not like the earnings report yesterday.

- LDSH has resistance here.

- LUK: Volume is decreasing on this move.

I have a number of long picks that I will place in a new post.

2 comments:
Hey there,
Got here from Slopeofhope's Tim Knight blog recommendation. I like your blog, great charts! One question: what is your timeframe for trading?
Thanks a lot! I am usually looking for entries that will provide a good swing trade, so for a few days up to a few weeks.
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